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₿ Crypto
⚽ Sports
🏛️ Politics
🎪 Events
🐋 Whale Copy
🔍 Alpha Scanner — Live Opportunities
₿
BTC above $75K by March 31
Polymarket
📊 Our Model: 68% | Market: 52% | Volume: $2.4M
52¢
YES Price
+16%
⟠
ETH above $2,500 by April 15
Coinbase
📊 Our Model: 58% | Market: 41% | Retail Heavy ⚠️
41¢
YES Price
+17%
🐋
Trump wins 2028 nomination
Polymarket
🐋 RN1 entered $180K YES 2h ago | 3 whales following
67¢
YES Price
+8%
🎾
Sinner wins Miami Open
Polymarket
📊 Elo Model: 45% | Market: 38% | Surface advantage
38¢
YES Price
+7%
🏛️
Fed cuts rates in May
Kalshi
📊 42 Macro: 35% | Market: 28% | Contrarian play
28¢
YES Price
+7%
🐋 Smart Money Tracker
View All Whales →
🦈
RN1
LEGEND
70% win rate • 847 trades • Active 2h ago
Latest Position:
$180K YES on "Trump 2028 Nomination" @ 65¢
+$5.3M
All-Time
🐳
0x7a2...f91
WHALE
65% win rate • 234 trades • Active 6h ago
Latest Position:
$95K YES on "BTC > $80K by April" @ 34¢
+$1.8M
All-Time
🦑
CryptoOracle
WHALE
62% win rate • 512 trades • Active 1d ago
Latest Position:
$50K NO on "ETH flips BTC" @ 92¢
+$920K
All-Time
📰 Market-Moving News
Configure Alerts →
2m ago
🟢 BlackRock ETF sees $400M inflow — largest since January
Impact: BTC price targets ↑ | Affects 12 markets
18m ago
🔴 SEC announces new crypto enforcement actions
Impact: Alt sentiment ↓ | Affects 8 markets
45m ago
📊 Fed minutes show divided committee on May cut
Impact: Rate cut probability → | Affects 5 markets
1h ago
🟢 Sinner dominates practice session, coach confirms peak form
Impact: Miami Open odds ↑ | Edge opportunity
📡 Edge Signals
3
Whale Entries (24h)
+12%
Avg Model Edge
5
High-Edge Opps
2
Markets to Avoid
Edge Confidence by Category
Crypto
85%
Sports
65%
Politics
55%
Events
40%
💰 Bankroll
Add Funds
$1,000
Starting
$1,000
Current
0
Trades
$0
At Risk
📏 Kelly Criterion Sizing
Max Single Bet
$50 (5%)
High Edge (>10%)
$30-50
Medium Edge (5-10%)
$15-30
Low Edge (<5%)
$10-15
Max Exposure
$200 (20%)
🚫 Markets to Avoid
Celebrity markets (deaths, drama)
No edge, pure gambling
Low liquidity (<$50K volume)
Hard to exit, manipulation risk
Binary events we can't model
Random outcomes = expected loss
Markets with <24h to expiry
Spread + fees eat edge
🔧 Edge Sources
📊 42 Macro Regime
✓ Connected
🐋 Whale Wallet Tracker
✓ 60 tracked
🎾 Tennis Elo Model
🔧 Building
⚽ Soccer Poisson
🔧 Building
📰 News Velocity
✓ Live